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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey v Atletico San Luis: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio BBVA
1–3
FT
Monterrey 61%Draw 23%Atletico San Luis 16% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.06
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Monterrey welcome Atletico San Luis to Estadio BBVA for a Liga MX fixture on Monday 31 August (03:10 WAT). In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Atletico San Luis are 14th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Monterrey, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chicago Fire, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Atletico San Luis, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CF Pachuca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monterrey, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Atletico San Luis.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Monterrey 1–2 Atletico San Luis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 2.2 xG, Atletico San Luis 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 61%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Monterrey or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 2–1 Atletico San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.33
Atletico San Luis16%fair 6.33 · @5.20
3.22Expected goals
2.16Monterrey xG
1.06Atletico San Luis xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Monterrey 2.2 – 1.1 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey to win ✗61%1.651.55
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✗84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.60
Draw no betMonterrey (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapMonterrey -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
First team to scoreMonterrey to score first ✗64%1.55–
Half-time resultMonterrey ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey / FT Monterrey ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Monterrey – last 6

WLWWWL
26 Augvs Chicago Fire2–1W
22 Aug@ Leon0–2L
16 Augvs FC Juarez6–1W
13 Augvs Nashville SC2–1W
9 Aug@ Inter Miami2–1W
6 Augvs Orlando City SC1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Atletico San Luis – last 6

DLDLLD
24 Augvs CF Pachuca1–1D
17 Aug@ Club America0–3L
13 Aug@ Orlando City SC2–2D
10 Aug@ Nashville SC1–4L
6 Aug@ Inter Miami2–4L
1 Augvs Club Tijuana0–0D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Monterrey v Atletico San Luis1–2
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

On our numbers Monterrey have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico San Luis 16%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

Our predicted score is Monterrey 2–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?

Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.