Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultCF Pachuca to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceCF Pachuca or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CF Pachuca welcome Necaxa to Estadio Hidalgo for a Liga MX fixture on Monday 12 October (00:10 WAT). In the table, CF Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
CF Pachuca, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santos Laguna, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Necaxa, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CF Pachuca, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Necaxa.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Pachuca 2–1 Necaxa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Pachuca 2.0 xG, Necaxa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Pachuca 65%, draw 19%, Necaxa 16%.
Lower-risk option: CF Pachuca or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CF Pachuca to win (65%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Pachuca 2–0 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Pachuca65%fair 1.54 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.60
Necaxa16%fair 6.26 · @4.00
2.90Expected goals
2.03CF Pachuca xG
0.87Necaxa xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CF Pachuca 2.0 – 0.9 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CF Pachuca to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Necaxa 16%.
How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 2–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CF Pachuca vs Necaxa?
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
