Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul travel to face U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Monday 12 October in the Liga MX, with Estadio Olímpico Universitario the venue – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT. In the table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atletico San Luis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cruz Azul, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Toluca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul. The last 3 head-to-heads: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 wins, Cruz Azul 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.3 xG, Cruz Azul 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U.N.A.M. - Pumas 22%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 55%.
Lower-risk option: Cruz Azul or draw (78%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Cruz Azul to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruz Azul or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas22%fair 4.51 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Cruz Azul55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
3.35Expected goals
1.27U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
2.08Cruz Azul xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.3 – 2.1 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Cruz Azul or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 55%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–2 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
