Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas welcome Necaxa to Estadio Akron for a Liga MX fixture on Wednesday 21 October (01:07 WAT). In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigres UANL, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Necaxa, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Necaxa.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Necaxa 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 2.1 xG, Necaxa 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 68%, draw 18%, Necaxa 13%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.60
Necaxa13%fair 7.42 · @7.00
2.96Expected goals
2.14Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.82Necaxa xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 2.1 – 0.8 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Necaxa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 01:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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