Value bet: Tigres UANL to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTigres UANL to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Tigres UANL vs Leon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leon travel to face Tigres UANL on Wednesday 21 October in the Liga MX, with Estadio Universitario the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT.
Current form
Tigres UANL, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guadalajara Chivas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Leon, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL 1.7 xG, Leon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL 55%, draw 22%, Leon 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Tigres UANL to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.10
Leon23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
2.71Expected goals
1.72Tigres UANL xG
0.99Leon xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.7 – 1.0 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Leon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Tigres UANL to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Tigres UANL – last 6
DWWLDD
18 Oct
@ Guadalajara Chivas
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Toluca
3–2
W
27 Sep
vs Puebla
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ FC Juarez
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Monterrey
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Necaxa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leon – last 6
LDWDWL
18 Oct
vs Club America
3–5
L
10 Oct
@ Puebla
1–1
D
28 Sep
vs FC Juarez
2–1
W
21 Sep
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Atletico San Luis
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Leon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Leon?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leon 23%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Leon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Leon?
Tigres UANL vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
