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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Queretaro v Puebla: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio La Corregidora
0–2
FT

Puebla

LLLDD
Club Queretaro 63%Draw 22%Puebla 15% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.84
85%
Betarazi pick

Club Queretaro or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Club Queretaro to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultClub Queretaro to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceClub Queretaro or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Club Queretaro vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 9 November the Liga MX brings Club Queretaro against Puebla at Estadio La Corregidora. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Club Queretaro are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Club Queretaro, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Juarez, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Puebla, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Club Queretaro, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Puebla.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Puebla 1–2 Club Queretaro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Queretaro 1.9 xG, Puebla 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Queretaro 63%, draw 22%, Puebla 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Club Queretaro or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Club Queretaro to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Club Queretaro or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Queretaro 1–0 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Queretaro63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.75
Puebla15%fair 6.51 · @4.33
2.78Expected goals
1.94Club Queretaro xG
0.84Puebla xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Club Queretaro 1.9 – 0.8 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Queretaro to win ✗63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceClub Queretaro or draw ✗85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.70
Draw no betClub Queretaro (draw no bet) ✗80%1.24–
Asian handicapClub Queretaro -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
First team to scoreClub Queretaro to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultClub Queretaro ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Queretaro / FT Club Queretaro ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Club Queretaro – last 6

LLLLWW
31 Oct@ FC Juarez1–3L
26 Octvs Cruz Azul1–3L
21 Oct@ Atletico San Luis1–2L
18 Oct@ Santos Laguna0–5L
11 Octvs Atlante FC2–0W
27 Sep@ Guadalajara Chivas2–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Puebla – last 6

LLLDDL
31 Octvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2L
26 Oct@ Atlas3–4L
22 Octvs Monterrey1–4L
17 Oct@ Club Tijuana0–0D
10 Octvs Leon1–1D
27 Sep@ Tigres UANL0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Puebla v Club Queretaro1–2
Club Queretaro vs Puebla head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

Our pick is Club Queretaro or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

On our numbers Club Queretaro have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Puebla 15%.

How many goals will there be in Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

Our predicted score is Club Queretaro 1–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Club Queretaro vs Puebla?

Club Queretaro vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.