Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ludogorets welcome Lokomotiv Plovdiv to Huvepharma Arena for a First League fixture on Saturday 18 July (19:15 WAT). In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Teuta Durrës, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 6. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rilski Sportist, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.9 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 66%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets66%fair 1.52 · @1.28
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.75
Lokomotiv Plovdiv12%fair 8.61 · @8.80
2.60Expected goals
1.87Ludogorets xG
0.73Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.9 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
