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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Septemvri Sofia v Arda Kardzhali: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Vasil Levski National Stadium

Septemvri Sofia

LWLWW
1–1
FT

Arda Kardzhali

LDLWL
Septemvri Sofia 25%Draw 28%Arda Kardzhali 47% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.39
75%
Betarazi pick

Arda Kardzhali or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arda Kardzhali travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Saturday 18 July in the First League, with Vasil Levski National Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ludogorets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Botev Vratsa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Septemvri Sofia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Arda Kardzhali.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 1–4 Arda Kardzhali.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.1 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 25%, draw 28%, Arda Kardzhali 47%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arda Kardzhali or draw (75%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arda Kardzhali or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia25%fair 4.00 · @3.65
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali47%fair 2.11 · @1.95
2.47Expected goals
1.08Septemvri Sofia xG
1.39Arda Kardzhali xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.1 – 1.4 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArda Kardzhali to win ✗47%2.111.95
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.93
Draw no betArda Kardzhali (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapSeptemvri Sofia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreArda Kardzhali to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali ✗26%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

LWLWWW
10 Jul@ Ludogorets0–1L
7 Julvs Hebar 19182–1W
4 Julvs Slavia Sofia2–3L
1 Julvs Vihren2–0W
27 Junvs Marek3–0W
28 Mayvs Yantra 20192–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

LDLWLW
10 Jul@ Botev Vratsa0–1L
7 Julvs Beitar Jerusalem0–0D
4 Jul@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2L
1 Jul@ Rilski Sportist2–0W
26 Jun@ Botev Plovdiv1–2L
25 May@ Cherno More Varna3–2W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Septemvri Sofia v Arda Kardzhali1–4
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Ludogorets1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv0 166%1.28X23%4.75212%8.80 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our pick is Arda Kardzhali or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Arda Kardzhali 47%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Vasil Levski National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.