Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗52% · @1.70
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✗78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the First League brings Cherno More Varna against Spartak Varna at Ticha Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botev Vratsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Spartak Varna, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with CSKA 1948, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 1.6 xG, Spartak Varna 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 52%, draw 26%, Spartak Varna 22%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 1–1 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna52%fair 1.92 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Spartak Varna22%fair 4.49 · @4.60
2.67Expected goals
1.57Cherno More Varna xG
1.09Spartak Varna xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.6 – 1.1 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
52%
1.92
1.70
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Cherno More Varna (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Varna +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Cherno More Varna to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Cherno More Varna – last 6
DDDWWD
19 Jul
@ Botev Vratsa
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Dunav Ruse
1–1
D
8 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
2–2
D
8 Jul
@ Farul Constanta
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Spartak Pleven
1–0
W
1 Jul
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
DWDLDW
17 Jul
vs CSKA 1948
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
7–3
W
8 Jul
vs Nesebar
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Dunav Ruse
0–0
D
22 May
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Varna 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–1 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
