Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ludogorets travel to face Cherno More Varna on Sunday 9 August in the First League, with Ticha Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ludogorets, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botev Vratsa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Cherno More Varna.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Ludogorets 0–0 Cherno More Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 0.8 xG, Ludogorets 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 18%, draw 24%, Ludogorets 58%.
Lower-risk option: Ludogorets or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 0–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna18%fair 5.58 · @4.60
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.55
Ludogorets58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
2.45Expected goals
0.79Cherno More Varna xG
1.66Ludogorets xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 0.8 – 1.7 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ludogorets 58%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets?
Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
