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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Septemvri Sofia v CSKA Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Dragalevtsi Stadium

Septemvri Sofia

LLDLW
0–3
FT

CSKA Sofia

WWDWD
Septemvri Sofia 15%Draw 24%CSKA Sofia 62% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.87
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the First League brings Septemvri Sofia against CSKA Sofia at Dragalevtsi Stadium. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; CSKA Sofia are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Levski Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

CSKA Sofia, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Septemvri Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 0.8 xG, CSKA Sofia 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 15%, draw 24%, CSKA Sofia 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia15%fair 6.79 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.90
CSKA Sofia62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
2.67Expected goals
0.80Septemvri Sofia xG
1.87CSKA Sofia xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.8 – 1.9 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Sofia to win ✓62%1.621.48
Double chanceCSKA Sofia or draw ✓85%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.95 ▲
Draw no betCSKA Sofia (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapCSKA Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreCSKA Sofia to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultCSKA Sofia ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

LLDLWL
1 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–3L
26 Jul@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2L
18 Julvs Arda Kardzhali1–1D
10 Jul@ Ludogorets0–1L
7 Julvs Hebar 19182–1W
4 Julvs Slavia Sofia2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CSKA Sofia – last 6

WWDWDD
6 Aug@ Maccabi Tel Aviv3–0W
2 Augvs Dunav Ruse2–1W
30 Julvs Qarabag0–0D
27 Julvs Botev Plovdiv3–2W
23 Jul@ Qarabag0–0D
20 Jul@ Slavia Sofia0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and CSKA Sofia.

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Cherno More Varna2 Ludogorets3 118%4.60X24%3.55258%1.67 0.8–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA Sofia 62%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–2 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.