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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dunav Ruse v Arda Kardzhali: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Gradski Stadium
0–2
FT
Dunav Ruse 31%Draw 26%Arda Kardzhali 44% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.29
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Dunav Ruse to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.18

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dunav Ruse welcome Arda Kardzhali to Gradski Stadium for a First League fixture on Saturday 8 August (19:15 WAT). In the table, Dunav Ruse are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Dunav Ruse, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CSKA 1948, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dunav Ruse 1.2 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dunav Ruse 31%, draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Dunav Ruse to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunav Ruse 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dunav Ruse31%fair 3.25 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Arda Kardzhali44%fair 2.29 · @1.95
2.54Expected goals
1.25Dunav Ruse xG
1.29Arda Kardzhali xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Dunav Ruse 1.2 – 1.3 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArda Kardzhali to win ✓44%2.291.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.93 ▲
Draw no betArda Kardzhali (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapDunav Ruse +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreArda Kardzhali to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali ✓22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.18–

Recent results

Dunav Ruse – last 6

LLLDDD
2 Aug@ CSKA Sofia1–2L
27 Julvs Ludogorets0–2L
17 Jul@ Levski Sofia1–2L
11 Jul@ Cherno More Varna1–1D
1 Julvs Dobrudzha1–1D
27 Jun@ Spartak Varna0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

LWDLDL
31 Jul@ CSKA 19481–2L
24 Julvs Slavia Sofia1–0W
18 Jul@ Septemvri Sofia1–1D
10 Jul@ Botev Vratsa0–1L
7 Julvs Beitar Jerusalem0–0D
4 Jul@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dunav Ruse and Arda Kardzhali.

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali?

On our numbers Dunav Ruse have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arda Kardzhali 44%.

How many goals will there be in Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our predicted score is Dunav Ruse 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali?

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.