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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Sofia v CSKA 1948: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv
1–3
FT
Lokomotiv Sofia 27%Draw 23%CSKA 1948 50% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.89
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: CSKA 1948 to win @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✓50% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia welcome CSKA 1948 to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Saturday 8 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; CSKA 1948 are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

CSKA 1948, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panathinaikos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA 1948, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Lokomotiv Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.1 xG, CSKA 1948 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 27%, draw 23%, CSKA 1948 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: CSKA 1948 to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 CSKA 1948. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Sofia27%fair 3.73 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
CSKA 194850%fair 1.99 · @2.30
3.01Expected goals
1.12Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.89CSKA 1948 xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.1 – 1.9 CSKA 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA 1948 to win ✓50%1.992.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.70
Draw no betCSKA 1948 (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapLokomotiv Sofia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.461.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreCSKA 1948 to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultCSKA 1948 ahead at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948 ✗35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

DLDDDL
31 Jul@ Slavia Sofia1–1D
25 Julvs Levski Sofia1–2L
21 Jul@ Botev Plovdiv1–1D
11 Julvs Teuta Durrës0–0D
4 Julvs Dukagjini3–3D
22 May@ Spartak Varna0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CSKA 1948 – last 6

DWDWDD
5 Aug@ Panathinaikos1–1D
31 Julvs Arda Kardzhali2–1W
28 Julvs Spartak Trnava0–0D
25 Julvs Botev Vratsa2–1W
22 Jul@ Spartak Trnava0–0D
17 Jul@ Spartak Varna2–2D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and CSKA 1948.

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CSKA 1948 50%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 CSKA 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 (First League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.