Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the First League brings Spartak Varna against Septemvri Sofia at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CSKA Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spartak Varna, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Septemvri Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Spartak Varna. The last 2 head-to-heads: Spartak Varna 0 wins, Septemvri Sofia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.7 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 55%, draw 21%, Septemvri Sofia 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna55%fair 1.82 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.25
Septemvri Sofia24%fair 4.20 · @3.65
2.74Expected goals
1.72Spartak Varna xG
1.03Septemvri Sofia xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.7 – 1.0 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Septemvri Sofia 24%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
