Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Botev Plovdiv to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✗83% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 24 August: Botev Vratsa v Botev Plovdiv in the First League, played at Hristo Botev Stadium. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Botev Plovdiv are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botev Vratsa, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ludogorets, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Botev Plovdiv, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Botev Vratsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 0.9 xG, Botev Plovdiv 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 17%, draw 22%, Botev Plovdiv 61%.
Lower-risk option: Botev Plovdiv or draw (83%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Botev Plovdiv to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botev Plovdiv or draw (83%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 0–1 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Vratsa17%fair 5.97 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Botev Plovdiv61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
2.84Expected goals
0.91Botev Vratsa xG
1.93Botev Plovdiv xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 0.9 – 1.9 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Botev Plovdiv or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Botev Plovdiv (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Botev Plovdiv -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Botev Plovdiv to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Botev Plovdiv ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Botev Vratsa – last 6
LLLLDW
16 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
0–5
L
10 Aug
vs Slavia Sofia
0–3
L
2 Aug
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
19 Jul
vs Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
10 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Botev Plovdiv – last 6
LWWLDW
15 Aug
@ Ludogorets
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Spartak Varna
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
1–0
W
27 Jul
@ CSKA Sofia
2–3
L
21 Jul
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Beroe
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Botev Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Plovdiv 61%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 0–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
