Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Arda Kardzhali to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arda Kardzhali travel to face Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Monday 24 August in the First League, with Stadion Lokomotiv the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dunav Ruse, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arda Kardzhali, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali. The last 4 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 wins, Arda Kardzhali 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.6 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 17%, draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 61%.
Lower-risk option: Arda Kardzhali or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Arda Kardzhali to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arda Kardzhali or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv17%fair 6.06 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
2.20Expected goals
0.64Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.56Arda Kardzhali xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.6 – 1.6 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arda Kardzhali 61%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
