Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Levski Sofia welcome Spartak Varna to Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov for a First League fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:15 WAT). In the table, Levski Sofia are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 13 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Levski Sofia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AEK Athens FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Spartak Varna, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Septemvri Sofia, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 2.1 xG, Spartak Varna 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 71%, draw 17%, Spartak Varna 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 2–0 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @5.00
Spartak Varna12%fair 8.16 · @10.25
2.87Expected goals
2.14Levski Sofia xG
0.73Spartak Varna xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 2.1 – 0.7 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 6
DWWWWD
18 Aug
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Kairat Almaty
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–0
W
4 Aug
vs Kairat Almaty
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Universitatea Craiova
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
LLWWDW
17 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Botev Plovdiv
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Cherno More Varna
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs CSKA 1948
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Dobrudzha
7–3
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Spartak Varna 12%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 2–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
