Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Slavia Sofia travel to face Ludogorets on Saturday 22 August in the First League, with Huvepharma Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ludogorets, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Botev Plovdiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Slavia Sofia, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Botev Vratsa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.9 xG, Slavia Sofia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 68%, draw 22%, Slavia Sofia 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–0 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ludogorets68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.60
Slavia Sofia10%fair 9.76 · @8.60
2.53Expected goals
1.92Ludogorets xG
0.61Slavia Sofia xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.9 – 0.6 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Ludogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Ludogorets – last 6
WWWDWL
15 Aug
vs Botev Plovdiv
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Cherno More Varna
3–2
W
2 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
30 Jul
vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2–2
D
27 Jul
@ Dunav Ruse
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 6
WDLDWW
10 Aug
@ Botev Vratsa
3–0
W
31 Jul
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–1
L
20 Jul
vs CSKA Sofia
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Montana
7–2
W
4 Jul
@ Septemvri Sofia
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Slavia Sofia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–0 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia?
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
