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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arda Kardzhali v Botev Vratsa: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Arena Arda
2–0
FT
Arda Kardzhali 61%Draw 22%Botev Vratsa 17% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.75
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:15 WAT, Monday 31 August: Arda Kardzhali v Botev Vratsa in the First League, played at Arena Arda. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Botev Vratsa, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botev Plovdiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Arda Kardzhali, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Botev Vratsa.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Botev Vratsa 1–0 Arda Kardzhali.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.7 xG, Botev Vratsa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 61%, draw 22%, Botev Vratsa 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arda Kardzhali61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.55
Botev Vratsa17%fair 5.95 · @6.40
2.46Expected goals
1.71Arda Kardzhali xG
0.75Botev Vratsa xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.7 – 0.7 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArda Kardzhali to win ✓61%1.631.50
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓83%1.201.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.882.15 ▲
Draw no betArda Kardzhali (draw no bet) ✓78%1.27–
Asian handicapArda Kardzhali -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreArda Kardzhali to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

WWWLWD
24 Aug@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
17 Augvs Lokomotiv Sofia3–1W
8 Aug@ Dunav Ruse2–0W
31 Jul@ CSKA 19481–2L
24 Julvs Slavia Sofia1–0W
18 Jul@ Septemvri Sofia1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Botev Vratsa – last 6

WLLLLD
24 Augvs Botev Plovdiv1–0W
16 Aug@ CSKA Sofia0–5L
10 Augvs Slavia Sofia0–3L
2 Aug@ Ludogorets1–2L
25 Jul@ CSKA 19481–2L
19 Julvs Cherno More Varna1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jul 2026Botev Vratsa v Arda Kardzhali1–0
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Vratsa 17%.

How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa?

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.