Value bet: Dunav Ruse to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to face Dunav Ruse on Monday 31 August in the First League, with Gradski Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Dunav Ruse are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dunav Ruse, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cherno More Varna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunav Ruse 1.3 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunav Ruse 34%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Sofia 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Dunav Ruse to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunav Ruse 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunav Ruse34%fair 2.95 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Lokomotiv Sofia44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
2.74Expected goals
1.26Dunav Ruse xG
1.48Lokomotiv Sofia xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dunav Ruse 1.3 – 1.5 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✗
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.75
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Dunav Ruse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Sofia to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Dunav Ruse – last 6
LWLLLL
21 Aug
@ Cherno More Varna
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Ludogorets
0–2
L
17 Jul
@ Levski Sofia
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
LLDLDD
17 Aug
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Teuta Durrës
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunav Ruse and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Dunav Ruse have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Sofia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Dunav Ruse 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
