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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA 1948 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Bistritsa Stadium
2–0
FT
CSKA 1948 69%Draw 19%Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.64
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA 1948 to win ✓69% · @1.50
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv travel to face CSKA 1948 on Friday 28 August in the First League, with Bistritsa Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, CSKA 1948 are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CSKA 1948, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Septemvri Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours CSKA 1948, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–5 CSKA 1948.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA 1948 1.9 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA 1948 69%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA 1948 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA 194869%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.75
Lokomotiv Plovdiv12%fair 8.24 · @6.20
2.58Expected goals
1.93CSKA 1948 xG
0.64Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: CSKA 1948 1.9 – 0.6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA 1948 to win ✓69%1.461.50
Double chanceCSKA 1948 or draw ✓88%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.00
Draw no betCSKA 1948 (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapCSKA 1948 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreCSKA 1948 to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultCSKA 1948 ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA 1948 / FT CSKA 1948 ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

CSKA 1948 – last 6

LWDWDW
23 Aug@ Septemvri Sofia0–1L
14 Augvs Cherno More Varna4–1W
11 Augvs Panathinaikos1–1D
8 Aug@ Lokomotiv Sofia3–1W
5 Aug@ Panathinaikos1–1D
31 Julvs Arda Kardzhali2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

LLLLWL
24 Augvs Arda Kardzhali0–1L
16 Augvs Dunav Ruse1–2L
7 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–2L
3 Aug@ Spartak Varna0–1L
26 Julvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
18 Jul@ Ludogorets0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv v CSKA 19480–5
CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

On our numbers CSKA 1948 have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our predicted score is CSKA 1948 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Bistritsa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.