Slavia Sofia 61%Draw 24%Septemvri Sofia 15%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.62
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceSlavia Sofia or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia in the First League, played at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov. In the table, Slavia Sofia are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Slavia Sofia, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ludogorets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CSKA 1948, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 2–3 Slavia Sofia. The last 3 head-to-heads: Slavia Sofia 2 wins, Septemvri Sofia 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Slavia Sofia 1.6 xG, Septemvri Sofia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Slavia Sofia 61%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 15%.
Lower-risk option: Slavia Sofia or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Slavia Sofia to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Slavia Sofia61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.25
Septemvri Sofia15%fair 6.57 · @4.20
2.20Expected goals
1.58Slavia Sofia xG
0.62Septemvri Sofia xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.6 – 0.6 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Septemvri Sofia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
