Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Friday 4 September: Arda Kardzhali v Botev Plovdiv in the First League, played at Arena Arda. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Botev Plovdiv are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Botev Vratsa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Levski Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arda Kardzhali, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Botev Plovdiv.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 2–1 Arda Kardzhali. The last 2 head-to-heads: Arda Kardzhali 1 win, Botev Plovdiv 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.5 xG, Botev Plovdiv 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 49%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 28%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arda Kardzhali49%fair 2.03 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Botev Plovdiv28%fair 3.54 · @3.20
2.49Expected goals
1.47Arda Kardzhali xG
1.03Botev Plovdiv xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.5 – 1.0 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Botev Plovdiv 28%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv?
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
