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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Septemvri Sofia v Botev Vratsa: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv
2–3
FT
Septemvri Sofia 41%Draw 25%Botev Vratsa 35% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.14
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19

Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Septemvri Sofia welcome Botev Vratsa to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Friday 4 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Septemvri Sofia, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Botev Vratsa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Septemvri Sofia, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Botev Vratsa.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Botev Vratsa 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Septemvri Sofia 0 wins, Botev Vratsa 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.3 xG, Botev Vratsa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 41%, draw 25%, Botev Vratsa 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Septemvri Sofia41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Botev Vratsa35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
2.40Expected goals
1.26Septemvri Sofia xG
1.14Botev Vratsa xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.3 – 1.1 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗41%2.472.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.83
Draw no betSeptemvri Sofia (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapBotev Vratsa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreSeptemvri Sofia to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.19–

Recent results

Septemvri Sofia – last 6

DWWLLL
28 Aug@ Slavia Sofia1–1D
23 Augvs CSKA 19481–0W
17 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–0W
9 Augvs CSKA Sofia0–3L
1 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–3L
26 Jul@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Botev Vratsa – last 6

LWLLLL
31 Aug@ Arda Kardzhali0–2L
24 Augvs Botev Plovdiv1–0W
16 Aug@ CSKA Sofia0–5L
10 Augvs Slavia Sofia0–3L
2 Aug@ Ludogorets1–2L
25 Jul@ CSKA 19481–2L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Botev Vratsa v Septemvri Sofia1–1
6 Apr 2026Septemvri Sofia v Botev Vratsa0–0
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botev Vratsa 35%.

How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.