Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Cherno More Varna to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Sunday 6 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSKA 1948, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Cherno More Varna, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The last 3 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 wins, Cherno More Varna 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.3 xG, Cherno More Varna 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 37%, draw 24%, Cherno More Varna 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Cherno More Varna38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
2.64Expected goals
1.31Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.33Cherno More Varna xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.3 – 1.3 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cherno More Varna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
