Lokomotiv Sofia 13%Draw 25%Ludogorets 62%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.96
62%
Betarazi pick
Ludogorets to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.80
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ludogorets travel to face Lokomotiv Sofia on Sunday 6 September in the First League, with Stadion Lokomotiv the venue – the ball rolls at 19:15 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dunav Ruse, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Ludogorets, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Varna, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Lokomotiv Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 0.8 xG, Ludogorets 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 13%, draw 25%, Ludogorets 62%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Sofia13%fair 7.78 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Ludogorets62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
2.77Expected goals
0.81Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.96Ludogorets xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 0.8 – 2.0 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Ludogorets (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Ludogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Ludogorets to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.80
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
DLLDLD
31 Aug
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
17 Aug
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ludogorets – last 6
DDWWWD
30 Aug
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Botev Plovdiv
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Cherno More Varna
3–2
W
2 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
30 Jul
vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Ludogorets.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ludogorets 62%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
