Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botev Plovdiv to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botev Plovdiv welcome Lokomotiv Plovdiv to Stadion Hristo Botev for a First League fixture on Sunday 13 September (18:30 WAT). In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Arda Kardzhali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cherno More Varna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Botev Plovdiv, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 Botev Plovdiv. The last 3 head-to-heads: Botev Plovdiv 0 wins, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.8 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 63%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13%.
Lower-risk option: Botev Plovdiv or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Botev Plovdiv to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botev Plovdiv or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Plovdiv63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Lokomotiv Plovdiv13%fair 7.78 · @4.20
2.44Expected goals
1.77Botev Plovdiv xG
0.67Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.8 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
