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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Slavia Sofia v Spartak Varna: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov
0–0
FT
Slavia Sofia 51%Draw 23%Spartak Varna 26% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.94
51%
Betarazi pick

Slavia Sofia to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spartak Varna travel to face Slavia Sofia on Sunday 13 September in the First League, with Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov the venue – the ball rolls at 13:15 WAT. In the table, Slavia Sofia are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Slavia Sofia, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dunav Ruse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Spartak Varna, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA Sofia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Slavia Sofia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Spartak Varna.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Spartak Varna 2–1 Slavia Sofia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Slavia Sofia 1 win, Spartak Varna 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Slavia Sofia 1.4 xG, Spartak Varna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Slavia Sofia 51%, draw 23%, Spartak Varna 26%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Slavia Sofia to win (51%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slavia Sofia 1–0 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Slavia Sofia51%fair 1.98 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Spartak Varna26%fair 3.83 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.44Slavia Sofia xG
0.94Spartak Varna xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.4 – 0.9 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSlavia Sofia to win ✗51%1.982.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.83
Draw no betSlavia Sofia (draw no bet)66%1.52–
Asian handicapSpartak Varna +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSlavia Sofia to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.49–

Recent results

Slavia Sofia – last 6

WLDDWD
7 Sep@ Dunav Ruse1–0W
2 Sepvs Levski Sofia1–2L
28 Augvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
22 Aug@ Ludogorets1–1D
10 Aug@ Botev Vratsa3–0W
31 Julvs Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Spartak Varna – last 6

DDLLLW
5 Sepvs CSKA Sofia1–1D
30 Augvs Ludogorets1–1D
22 Aug@ Levski Sofia0–6L
17 Augvs Septemvri Sofia0–1L
10 Aug@ Botev Plovdiv2–3L
3 Augvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Spartak Varna v Slavia Sofia2–1
6 Mar 2026Slavia Sofia v Spartak Varna4–0
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Our pick is Slavia Sofia to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Varna 26%.

How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Our predicted score is Slavia Sofia 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.