Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the First League brings Arda Kardzhali against Cherno More Varna at Arena Arda. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to CSKA Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cherno More Varna, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arda Kardzhali, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Cherno More Varna.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 2–3 Arda Kardzhali. The last 3 head-to-heads: Arda Kardzhali 1 win, Cherno More Varna 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 2.0 xG, Cherno More Varna 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 59%, draw 26%, Cherno More Varna 15%.
Lower-risk option: Arda Kardzhali or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arda Kardzhali to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 2–0 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arda Kardzhali59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Cherno More Varna15%fair 6.63 · @4.50
3.00Expected goals
2.02Arda Kardzhali xG
0.98Cherno More Varna xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 2.0 – 1.0 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cherno More Varna 15%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 2–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
