Septemvri Sofia 20%Draw 21%Botev Plovdiv 60%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.85
60%
Betarazi pick
Botev Plovdiv to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botev Plovdiv travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Saturday 19 September in the First League, with Dragalevtsi Stadium, the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Botev Plovdiv are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ludogorets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 0.9 xG, Botev Plovdiv 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 20%, draw 21%, Botev Plovdiv 60%.
Lower-risk option: Botev Plovdiv or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botev Plovdiv to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia20%fair 5.12 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.30
Botev Plovdiv60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
2.78Expected goals
0.93Septemvri Sofia xG
1.85Botev Plovdiv xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.9 – 1.8 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botev Plovdiv 60%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium,.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
