Cherno More Varna 14%Draw 26%Levski Sofia 60%Expected goals 0.93 – 2.02
60%
Betarazi pick
Levski Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the First League brings Cherno More Varna against Levski Sofia at Ticha Stadium. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Levski Sofia are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Ludogorets, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Levski Sofia, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Cherno More Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 0.9 xG, Levski Sofia 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 14%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 60%.
Lower-risk option: Levski Sofia or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Levski Sofia to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 0–2 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna14%fair 7.10 · @5.00
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Levski Sofia60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
2.95Expected goals
0.93Cherno More Varna xG
2.02Levski Sofia xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 0.9 – 2.0 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Cherno More Varna – last 6
LDDLLW
4 Oct
@ Ludogorets
0–5
L
19 Sep
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Dunav Ruse
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Levski Sofia – last 6
LDLWWW
17 Sep
vs Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs CSKA 1948
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Slavia Sofia
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Botev Plovdiv
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and Levski Sofia.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?
Our pick is Levski Sofia to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Levski Sofia 60%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 0–2 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia?
Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
