Value bet: Dunav Ruse to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dunav Ruse travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Sunday 11 October in the First League, with Dragalevtsi Stadium, the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Dunav Ruse are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Dunav Ruse, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Botev Vratsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.5 xG, Dunav Ruse 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 42%, draw 24%, Dunav Ruse 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Dunav Ruse to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Dunav Ruse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Dunav Ruse33%fair 3.00 · @3.25
2.75Expected goals
1.47Septemvri Sofia xG
1.28Dunav Ruse xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.5 – 1.3 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Septemvri Sofia to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Septemvri Sofia (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Dunav Ruse +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Septemvri Sofia to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
LLLDWW
19 Sep
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–3
L
14 Sep
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Botev Vratsa
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Spartak Varna
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dunav Ruse – last 6
DLLDLW
19 Sep
vs Botev Vratsa
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
7 Sep
vs Slavia Sofia
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Cherno More Varna
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Dunav Ruse.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunav Ruse 33%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium,.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
