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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arda Kardzhali v Levski Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Arena Arda
1–1
FT
Arda Kardzhali 20%Draw 21%Levski Sofia 59% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.86
59%
Betarazi pick

Levski Sofia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLevski Sofia to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Arda Kardzhali v Levski Sofia in the First League, played at Arena Arda. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Levski Sofia are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Spartak Plovdiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Levski Sofia, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Plzen, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Arda Kardzhali.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Levski Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.0 xG, Levski Sofia 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 20%, draw 21%, Levski Sofia 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Levski Sofia or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Levski Sofia to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arda Kardzhali20%fair 5.09 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.20
Levski Sofia59%fair 1.68 · @1.67
2.81Expected goals
0.95Arda Kardzhali xG
1.86Levski Sofia xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.0 – 1.9 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLevski Sofia to win ✗59%1.681.67
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓80%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betLevski Sofia (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapArda Kardzhali +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreLevski Sofia to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevski Sofia ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

WLLDLL
18 Oct@ Spartak Plovdiv2–1W
12 Oct@ Ludogorets0–5L
2 Oct@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2L
19 Sepvs Cherno More Varna1–1D
12 Sep@ CSKA Sofia1–4L
4 Sepvs Botev Plovdiv2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Levski Sofia – last 6

WWDWLD
22 Oct@ Plzen2–1W
18 Oct@ Spartak Pleven2–0W
15 Oct@ NEC Nijmegen1–1D
11 Oct@ Cherno More Varna2–0W
17 Sepvs Red Bull Salzburg0–1L
13 Sep@ Botev Vratsa0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Apr 2026Levski Sofia v Arda Kardzhali1–0
Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Our pick is Levski Sofia to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Levski Sofia 59%.

How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.