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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Balgarska Armiya Stadium
2–0
FT
CSKA Sofia 40%Draw 23%Ludogorets 37% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.50
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Sofia to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 26 October the First League brings CSKA Sofia against Ludogorets at Balgarska Armiya Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, CSKA Sofia are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

CSKA Sofia, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Nordsjaelland, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Ludogorets, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Beroe, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for CSKA Sofia.

Head to head

When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–0 CSKA Sofia. The last 3 head-to-heads: CSKA Sofia 1 win, Ludogorets 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 1.6 xG, Ludogorets 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 40%, draw 23%, Ludogorets 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Sofia40%fair 2.53 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Ludogorets37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
3.05Expected goals
1.55CSKA Sofia xG
1.50Ludogorets xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.6 – 1.5 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Sofia to win ✓40%2.532.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.70
Draw no betCSKA Sofia (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapLudogorets +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreCSKA Sofia to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✓23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

CSKA Sofia – last 6

DWLWDW
22 Oct@ FC Nordsjaelland2–2D
18 Oct@ Nesebar2–0W
15 Octvs Monaco1–2L
11 Oct@ CSKA 19483–2W
20 Sep@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–1D
16 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

WWWWWD
17 Oct@ Beroe3–0W
12 Octvs Arda Kardzhali5–0W
4 Octvs Cherno More Varna5–0W
14 Sepvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
30 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–1D
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia1–0
29 Apr 2026CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets0–0
21 Apr 2026Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia1–2
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ludogorets 37%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Balgarska Armiya Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.