Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Slavia Sofia to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Monday 26 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cherno More Varna, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Slavia Sofia, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Akademik Svishtov, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 xG, Slavia Sofia 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 43%, draw 24%, Slavia Sofia 32%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Slavia Sofia to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–0 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Slavia Sofia32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
1.73Expected goals
0.96Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
0.77Slavia Sofia xG
46%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 – 0.8 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Plovdiv (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Slavia Sofia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.86
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
WWDWDL
21 Oct
@ Cherno More Varna
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ Yantra 2019
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Arda Kardzhali
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 6
WLWLDW
17 Oct
@ Akademik Svishtov
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs CSKA 1948
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Spartak Varna
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Dunav Ruse
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Slavia Sofia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–0 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
