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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Plovdiv v Dunav Ruse: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Hristo Botev
1–1
FT
Botev Plovdiv 64%Draw 18%Dunav Ruse 18% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.93
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗64% · @1.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 November the First League brings Botev Plovdiv against Dunav Ruse at Stadion Hristo Botev. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Dunav Ruse are 10th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Lokomotiv Sofia, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Dunav Ruse, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Levski Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Botev Plovdiv, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Dunav Ruse.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 2.0 xG, Dunav Ruse 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 64%, draw 18%, Dunav Ruse 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Dunav Ruse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Plovdiv64%fair 1.56 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.00
Dunav Ruse18%fair 5.53 · @6.50
2.95Expected goals
2.02Botev Plovdiv xG
0.93Dunav Ruse xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 2.0 – 0.9 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗64%1.561.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.91 ▲
Draw no betBotev Plovdiv (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapBotev Plovdiv -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
First team to scoreBotev Plovdiv to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultBotev Plovdiv ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Botev Plovdiv – last 6

WLWWWW
30 Oct@ Lokomotiv Sofia5–2W
23 Oct@ CSKA 19480–4L
18 Oct@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas4–0W
14 Octvs Botev Vratsa2–0W
10 Octvs Slavia Sofia1–0W
19 Sep@ Septemvri Sofia3–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dunav Ruse – last 6

LWWWDL
31 Octvs Levski Sofia0–1L
24 Octvs Spartak Varna2–0W
17 Oct@ Rilski Sportist3–2W
11 Oct@ Septemvri Sofia3–2W
19 Sepvs Botev Vratsa2–2D
12 Sep@ CSKA 19481–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse.

Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dunav Ruse 18%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?

Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.