Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to face Septemvri Sofia on Friday 6 November in the First League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Septemvri Sofia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Botev Plovdiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv Sofia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Septemvri Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Septemvri Sofia 0 wins, Lokomotiv Sofia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Septemvri Sofia 1.3 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Septemvri Sofia 31%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Sofia 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Septemvri Sofia31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Lokomotiv Sofia46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
2.85Expected goals
1.26Septemvri Sofia xG
1.59Lokomotiv Sofia xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.3 – 1.6 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Sofia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
