Arda Kardzhali 59%Draw 20%Septemvri Sofia 21%Expected goals 1.82 – 0.97
59%
Betarazi pick
Arda Kardzhali to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓59% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 November the First League brings Arda Kardzhali against Septemvri Sofia at Arena Arda. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Septemvri Sofia are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Levski Sofia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cherno More Varna, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arda Kardzhali, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Septemvri Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. The last 2 head-to-heads: Arda Kardzhali 1 win, Septemvri Sofia 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.8 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 59%, draw 20%, Septemvri Sofia 21%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arda Kardzhali to win (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arda Kardzhali59%fair 1.70 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
Septemvri Sofia21%fair 4.69 · @5.00
2.79Expected goals
1.82Arda Kardzhali xG
0.97Septemvri Sofia xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.8 – 1.0 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Septemvri Sofia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
