Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cherno More Varna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 2 November: Cherno More Varna v Botev Vratsa in the First League, played at Ticha. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Botev Vratsa are 13th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Botev Vratsa, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Botev Vratsa 1–1 Cherno More Varna. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cherno More Varna 0 wins, Botev Vratsa 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 1.8 xG, Botev Vratsa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 57%, draw 23%, Botev Vratsa 20%.
Lower-risk option: Cherno More Varna or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Cherno More Varna to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cherno More Varna or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 1–0 Botev Vratsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.90
Botev Vratsa20%fair 4.89 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.78Cherno More Varna xG
0.97Botev Vratsa xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.8 – 1.0 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Cherno More Varna or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Botev Vratsa 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–0 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
