Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Esbjerg to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsbjerg to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Esbjerg vs Hobro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Esbjerg welcome Hobro to Blue Water Arena for a 1. Division fixture on Saturday 15 August (13:00 WAT). In the table, Esbjerg are 10th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Hobro are 7th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Esbjerg, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hvidovre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Hobro, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AB Copenhagen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hobro, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Esbjerg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esbjerg 1.8 xG, Hobro 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esbjerg 55%, draw 20%, Hobro 25%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Esbjerg to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esbjerg 1–1 Hobro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esbjerg55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.55
Hobro25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.78Esbjerg xG
1.11Hobro xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.8 – 1.1 Hobro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esbjerg to win✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
Esbjerg (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Hobro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Esbjerg to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esbjerg / FT Esbjerg✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Esbjerg – last 6
LWWDLL
9 Aug
@ Hvidovre
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ Bogense
6–0
W
1 Aug
@ Hillerød
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Kolding IF
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs FC Fredericia
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Mafra
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hobro – last 6
WLWLWW
8 Aug
vs AB Copenhagen
1–0
W
5 Aug
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–4
L
2 Aug
@ Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Aarhus Fremad
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Hamburger SV II
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Middelfart
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esbjerg and Hobro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Esbjerg vs Hobro?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hobro 25%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs Hobro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs Hobro?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–1 Hobro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs Hobro?
Esbjerg vs Hobro (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
