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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aalborg v HB Koge: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Denmark · Aalborg Portland Park

Aalborg

DLLDW
0–0
FT

HB Koge

DLLLL
Aalborg 65%Draw 21%HB Koge 14% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.85
65%
Betarazi pick

Aalborg to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultAalborg to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceAalborg or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Aalborg vs HB Koge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Aalborg v HB Koge in the 1. Division, played at Aalborg Portland Park. In the table, Aalborg are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; HB Koge are 11th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Aalborg, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vatanspor, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

HB Koge, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kolding IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Aalborg, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for HB Koge.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Aalborg 1–0 HB Koge.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aalborg 2.0 xG, HB Koge 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aalborg 65%, draw 21%, HB Koge 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aalborg or draw (86%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aalborg to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalborg 2–0 HB Koge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aalborg65%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.95
HB Koge14%fair 6.90 · @4.60
2.89Expected goals
2.04Aalborg xG
0.85HB Koge xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Aalborg 2.0 – 0.9 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAalborg to win ✗65%1.551.62
Double chanceAalborg or draw ✓86%1.171.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.57
Draw no betAalborg (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapAalborg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreAalborg to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultAalborg ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aalborg / FT Aalborg ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Aalborg – last 6

DLLDWW
25 Aug@ Vatanspor1–1D
21 Aug@ Hobro1–2L
14 Augvs FC Fredericia0–3L
9 Augvs Kolding IF1–1D
4 Aug@ Holstebro3–1W
31 Jul@ Aarhus Fremad2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

HB Koge – last 6

DLLLLL
23 Augvs Kolding IF2–2D
15 Augvs Hvidovre0–2L
8 Aug@ Aarhus Fremad1–3L
4 Aug@ Brønshøj0–1L
31 Julvs Vejle0–2L
25 Jul@ FC Fredericia0–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026Aalborg v HB Koge1–0
Aalborg vs HB Koge head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hvidovre14950+1432
2Vejle14761+1027
3FC Fredericia14653+1123
4AB Copenhagen14635+621
5Aarhus Fremad14464-218
6Aalborg14374-216
7Hobro14446-816
8Hillerød14437-315
9Kolding IF14365-315
10Esbjerg14356-714
11HB Koge14266-612
12Vendsyssel FF14266-1012

More 1. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Our pick is Aalborg to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Aalborg vs HB Koge?

On our numbers Aalborg have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and HB Koge 14%.

How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs HB Koge?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Our predicted score is Aalborg 2–0 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Aalborg vs HB Koge?

Aalborg vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.