Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Hillerød to win @ 2.26 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHillerød to win ✗48% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
HB Koge vs Hillerød: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: HB Koge v Hillerød in the 1. Division, played at Capelli Sport Stadion. In the table, HB Koge are 11th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Hillerød are 8th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
HB Koge, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aalborg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Hillerød, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Hobro, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 4.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Hillerød, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for HB Koge.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HB Koge 1.3 xG, Hillerød 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HB Koge 31%, draw 21%, Hillerød 48%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Hillerød to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: HB Koge 1–1 Hillerød. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HB Koge31%fair 3.26 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.45
Hillerød48%fair 2.08 · @2.26
3.02Expected goals
1.31HB Koge xG
1.71Hillerød xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.3 – 1.7 Hillerød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hillerød to win✗
48%
2.08
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
Hillerød (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
HB Koge +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Hillerød to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hillerød / FT Hillerød✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
HB Koge – last 6
DDLLLL
29 Aug
@ Aalborg
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Kolding IF
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Hvidovre
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Aarhus Fremad
1–3
L
4 Aug
@ Brønshøj
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Vejle
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hillerød – last 6
WWLDLW
30 Aug
vs Hobro
3–1
W
25 Aug
@ Avarta
4–0
W
20 Aug
@ Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Aarhus Fremad
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Vejle
4–5
L
6 Aug
@ Vaeggerlose
12–0
W
4.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HB Koge and Hillerød.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win HB Koge vs Hillerød?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hillerød 48%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Hillerød?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Hillerød?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Hillerød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Hillerød?
HB Koge vs Hillerød (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
