Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultEsbjerg to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Esbjerg vs HB Koge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Esbjerg welcome HB Koge to Blue Water Arena for a 1. Division fixture on Saturday 12 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Esbjerg are 10th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; HB Koge are 11th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Esbjerg, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Fredericia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
HB Koge, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hillerød, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended HB Koge 0–1 Esbjerg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esbjerg 1.8 xG, HB Koge 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esbjerg 60%, draw 20%, HB Koge 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Esbjerg to win (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esbjerg 1–0 HB Koge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esbjerg60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
HB Koge20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
2.79Expected goals
1.84Esbjerg xG
0.95HB Koge xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.8 – 0.9 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Esbjerg to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and HB Koge 20%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–0 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs HB Koge?
Esbjerg vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
