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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aalborg v Hobro: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Denmark · Aalborg Portland Park

Aalborg

LLDDD
1–1
FT

Hobro

DLDLD
Aalborg 61%Draw 21%Hobro 18% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.94
82%
Betarazi pick

Aalborg or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAalborg to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceAalborg or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Aalborg vs Hobro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Aalborg v Hobro in the 1. Division, played at Aalborg Portland Park. In the table, Aalborg are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Hobro are 7th (lower half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aalborg, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hillerød, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Hobro, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vendsyssel FF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aalborg, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hobro.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Aug 2026) it ended Hobro 2–1 Aalborg. The last 3 head-to-heads: Aalborg 1 win, Hobro 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aalborg 1.9 xG, Hobro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aalborg 61%, draw 21%, Hobro 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aalborg or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aalborg or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aalborg 1–0 Hobro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aalborg61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.60
Hobro18%fair 5.62 · @4.00
2.88Expected goals
1.94Aalborg xG
0.94Hobro xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Aalborg 1.9 – 0.9 Hobro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAalborg to win ✗61%1.641.70
Double chanceAalborg or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.57
Draw no betAalborg (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapAalborg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreAalborg to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultAalborg ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aalborg / FT Aalborg ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Aalborg – last 6

LLDDDW
24 Oct@ Hillerød1–2L
17 Octvs Vejle0–1L
10 Oct@ Esbjerg3–3D
20 Sepvs Vendsyssel FF2–2D
12 Sep@ Hvidovre2–2D
5 Sep@ AB Copenhagen2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Hobro – last 6

DLDLDL
23 Octvs Vendsyssel FF2–2D
17 Oct@ FC Fredericia0–3L
10 Octvs Kolding IF1–1D
21 Sep@ HB Koge2–5L
11 Sepvs Vejle0–0D
4 Sepvs Hvidovre1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Aug 2026Hobro v Aalborg2–1
1 May 2026Aalborg v Hobro1–1
10 Apr 2026Hobro v Aalborg0–1
Aalborg vs Hobro head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hvidovre14950+1432
2Vejle14761+1027
3FC Fredericia14653+1123
4AB Copenhagen14635+621
5Aarhus Fremad14464-218
6Aalborg14374-216
7Hobro14446-816
8Hillerød14437-315
9Kolding IF14365-315
10Esbjerg14356-714
11HB Koge14266-612
12Vendsyssel FF14266-1012

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aalborg vs Hobro?

Our pick is Aalborg or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aalborg vs Hobro?

On our numbers Aalborg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hobro 18%.

How many goals will there be in Aalborg vs Hobro?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aalborg vs Hobro?

Our predicted score is Aalborg 1–0 Hobro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Aalborg vs Hobro?

Aalborg vs Hobro (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Aalborg Portland Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.