NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NAC Breda welcome Jong Ajax to Rat Verlegh Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Saturday 22 August (15:30 WAT). In the table, NAC Breda are 13th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NAC Breda, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VVV Venlo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Jong Ajax, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 4–6 defeat to Emmen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NAC Breda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Jong Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NAC Breda 3.0 xG, Jong Ajax 1.0 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NAC Breda 75%, draw 16%, Jong Ajax 8%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: NAC Breda 3–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NAC Breda75%fair 1.32 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @6.00
Jong Ajax8%fair 12.20 · @11.00
4.08Expected goals
3.03NAC Breda xG
1.04Jong Ajax xG
63%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: NAC Breda 3.0 – 1.0 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✓
75%
1.32
1.22
Double chance
NAC Breda or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
NAC Breda -1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
NAC Breda ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✓
54%
1.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
NAC Breda – last 6
LWLWWL
14 Aug
vs VVV Venlo
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Bolton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs OFI
3–2
W
25 Jul
@ Lokeren-Temse
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Excelsior
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLLLWL
17 Aug
vs Emmen
4–6
L
7 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Jong AZ
0–3
L
24 Apr
vs Jong Utrecht
0–2
L
17 Apr
@ Jong PSV U21
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Jong Ajax 8%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is NAC Breda 3–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax?
NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
