VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Eerste Divisie brings VVV Venlo against De Graafschap at Seacon - De Koel. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT. In the table, VVV Venlo are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
VVV Venlo, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over NAC Breda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
De Graafschap, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Jong AZ, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VVV Venlo 2.2 xG, De Graafschap 2.3 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VVV Venlo 36%, draw 21%, De Graafschap 43%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: VVV Venlo 2–2 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VVV Venlo36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
De Graafschap43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
4.50Expected goals
2.16VVV Venlo xG
2.34De Graafschap xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 2.2 – 2.3 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
VVV Venlo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
De Graafschap to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
15.22
–
Recent results
VVV Venlo – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Aug
@ NAC Breda
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Heracles
3–4
L
1 Aug
vs AS Eupen
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Köln
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Viktoria Köln
3–5
L
18 Jul
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
LDLWLL
17 Aug
vs Jong AZ
2–5
L
9 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Excelsior
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Kifisia
4–2
W
17 Jul
vs Telstar
3–6
L
12 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and De Graafschap 43%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is VVV Venlo 2–2 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap?
VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
