Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓44% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
De Graafschap vs Almere City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almere City FC travel to face De Graafschap on Saturday 29 August in the Eerste Divisie, with De Vijverberg the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, De Graafschap are 1st, leading the league, on 0 points after 0 matches; Almere City FC are 9th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
De Graafschap, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to VVV Venlo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Almere City FC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vitesse, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Almere City FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for De Graafschap.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Almere City FC 3–1 De Graafschap.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give De Graafschap 1.7 xG, Almere City FC 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – De Graafschap 36%, draw 19%, Almere City FC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Almere City FC to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: De Graafschap 1–2 Almere City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
De Graafschap36%fair 2.76 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
Almere City FC44%fair 2.25 · @2.75
3.55Expected goals
1.67De Graafschap xG
1.88Almere City FC xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 1.7 – 1.9 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Almere City FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 1–2 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
De Graafschap vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
