Value bet: Jong AZ to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDordrecht to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Dordrecht vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong AZ travel to face Dordrecht on Saturday 5 September in the Eerste Divisie, with M-Scores Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Dordrecht are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dordrecht, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to FC Volendam, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Jong AZ, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong Utrecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Jong AZ, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Dordrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.9 xG, Jong AZ 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 41%, draw 21%, Jong AZ 39%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Jong AZ to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dordrecht41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Jong AZ39%fair 2.60 · @2.88
3.67Expected goals
1.86Dordrecht xG
1.81Jong AZ xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.9 – 1.8 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✗
41%
2.46
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Draw no bet
Dordrecht (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Jong AZ +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Dordrecht to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.53
–
Recent results
Dordrecht – last 6
LLDWLD
28 Aug
@ FC Volendam
1–6
L
21 Aug
vs Roda
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Waalwijk
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs RSC Anderlecht II
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 6
WLLWLW
31 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs MVV
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Emmen
1–3
L
17 Aug
@ De Graafschap
5–2
W
10 Aug
vs FC Eindhoven
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Ijsselmeervogels
7–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong AZ 39%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Jong AZ?
Dordrecht vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
