Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: MVV to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
MVV vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:45 WAT, Sunday 6 September: MVV v Roda in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Geusselt. In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MVV, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jong AZ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Roda, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with NAC Breda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.2 xG, Roda 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 34%, draw 23%, Roda 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: MVV to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–1 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MVV34%fair 2.99 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Roda44%fair 2.27 · @2.10
2.63Expected goals
1.20MVV xG
1.43Roda xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: MVV 1.2 – 1.4 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
44%
2.27
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Roda to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
MVV – last 6
WLWWWD
28 Aug
@ Jong AZ
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ KRC Genk II
0–6
L
21 Aug
vs FC Volendam
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Patro Eisden
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
DWWLLW
28 Aug
vs NAC Breda
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Emmen
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Alemannia Aachen
2–4
L
17 Jul
vs Beerschot VA
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and Roda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win MVV vs Roda?
On our numbers MVV have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Roda 44%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs Roda?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs Roda?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is MVV vs Roda?
MVV vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
