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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Roda v Vitesse: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda

DDWWL
1–0
FT

Vitesse

WWLWD
Roda 41%Draw 21%Vitesse 38% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.38
79%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
–Odds
2

Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRoda to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 34.16

Roda vs Vitesse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitesse travel to face Roda on Saturday 12 September in the Eerste Divisie, with Parkstad Limburg Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Vitesse are 15th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Roda, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with MVV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Vitesse, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC OSS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Vitesse 1–1 Roda. The last 2 head-to-heads: Roda 0 wins, Vitesse 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.4 xG, Vitesse 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 41%, draw 21%, Vitesse 38%.
  • Price worth noting: Vitesse to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (79%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–0 Vitesse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Roda41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Vitesse38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.80Expected goals
1.42Roda xG
1.38Vitesse xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Roda 1.4 – 1.4 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRoda to win ✓41%2.472.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Draw no betRoda (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapVitesse +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreRoda to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Roda / FT Roda ✓22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%34.16–

Recent results

Roda – last 6

DDWWLL
6 Sep@ MVV1–1D
28 Augvs NAC Breda2–2D
21 Aug@ Dordrecht1–0W
14 Augvs Helmond Sport2–1W
7 Aug@ Emmen0–1L
1 Augvs Alemannia Aachen2–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vitesse – last 6

WWLWDL
4 Sepvs FC OSS2–1W
28 Aug@ Den Bosch4–1W
21 Augvs Almere City FC0–3L
17 Aug@ Jong Utrecht3–1W
7 Augvs Waalwijk1–1D
18 Julvs Al-Jazira1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Vitesse v Roda1–1
16 Mar 2026Roda v Vitesse0–1
Roda vs Vitesse head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roda vs Vitesse?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 79% chance.

Who will win Roda vs Vitesse?

On our numbers Roda have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitesse 38%.

How many goals will there be in Roda vs Vitesse?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roda vs Vitesse?

Our predicted score is Roda 1–0 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Roda vs Vitesse?

Roda vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.